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30d: inventory -15.3%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> ABSORPTION."},"scores":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-086:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T16:02:11.395Z","formulaVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","windowDays":30,"sampleSize":30,"subScores":{"liquidity":69.37578682967931,"absorption":80.55555555555556,"priceTrend":45.29729977437308,"dataQuality":68.68196463541666,"auctionDemand":null,"collectorAppeal":null,"supplyTightness":65.3125,"attentionQuality":null,"relativeStrength":52.90087934294246,"reprintSupplyRisk":60,"gradingReflexivity":null},"missingInputs":["auctionDemand","attentionQuality","gradingReflexivity","collectorAppeal"],"quantScore":61.396507,"floorConfidence":58.84517,"confidencePenalty":0.14,"drivers":[{"detail":"Absorption scored 81/100 (composite weight 14%).","factor":"absorption","weight":0.14,"direction":"BULLISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"Liquidity scored 69/100 (composite weight 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attentionQuality would sharpen this read.","More evidence on gradingReflexivity would sharpen this read.","More evidence on collectorAppeal would sharpen this read."],"modelVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","changeSincePrior":null,"disclaimer":"Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice."},"gradingEv":null,"population":null,"provenance":[{"providerId":"TCGDEX","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-07-17T00:00:00Z","freshnessSeconds":4038501,"confidence":0.98,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":"TCGdex catalog"},{"providerId":"FIXTURE_IMPORT","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-08-27T12:00:00.000Z","freshnessSeconds":452901,"confidence":0.5,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":null}],"eventMarkers":[{"t":"2026-07-17T00:00:00.000Z","kind":"SET_RELEASE","title":"Pitch Black (me05) released"}],"dataMode":"DEMO","auctionSummary":{"classification":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","completedMedianCents":null,"completedMeanCents":null,"binFloorCents":null,"spreadVsBinPct":null,"active":[],"sampleSizeCompleted":0},"whyMoving":{"whatChanged":"Sold median moved +1.2% over the trailing 7 days and -1.4% over 30 days, last printing at $18.89. Active TCGplayer listings fell 8% over the same 7 days to 271.","primaryExplanation":"Primary read: Absorption scored 81/100 (composite weight 14%). — the largest single contributor to the current FLOOR_FORMING regime read.","alternative":"Alternative explanation: Liquidity scored 69/100 (composite weight 10%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.","evidence":"Evidence: raw~tcgdex:me05-086:EN:HOLO~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:me05-086:EN:HOLO~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read (\"Over 30d: inventory -15.3%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> ABSORPTION.\").","confidence":"Confidence: 30% (floor-confidence 59/100), based on 30 days of observations.","disproof":"This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 312 while sold median keeps falling."},"analytics":{"bars":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1916,"highCents":1916,"lowCents":1916,"closeCents":1916,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1914,"highCents":1914,"lowCents":1914,"closeCents":1914,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1916},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1929,"highCents":1929,"lowCents":1929,"closeCents":1929,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1914},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1919,"highCents":1919,"lowCents":1919,"closeCents":1919,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1929},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1924,"highCents":1924,"lowCents":1924,"closeCents":1924,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1919},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1896,"highCents":1896,"lowCents":1896,"closeCents":1896,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1924},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1889,"highCents":1889,"lowCents":1889,"closeCents":1889,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1896},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1895,"highCents":1895,"lowCents":1895,"closeCents":1895,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1889},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1888,"highCents":1888,"lowCents":1888,"closeCents":1888,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1895},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1907,"highCents":1907,"lowCents":1907,"closeCents":1907,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1888},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1920,"highCents":1920,"lowCents":1920,"closeCents":1920,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1907},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1933,"highCents":1933,"lowCents":1933,"closeCents":1933,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1920},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1920,"highCents":1920,"lowCents":1920,"closeCents":1920,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1933},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1946,"highCents":1946,"lowCents":1946,"closeCents":1946,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1920},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1930,"highCents":1930,"lowCents":1930,"closeCents":1930,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1946},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1923,"highCents":1923,"lowCents":1923,"closeCents":1923,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1930},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1920,"highCents":1920,"lowCents":1920,"closeCents":1920,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1923},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1913,"highCents":1913,"lowCents":1913,"closeCents":1913,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1920},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1887,"highCents":1887,"lowCents":1887,"closeCents":1887,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1913},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1869,"highCents":1869,"lowCents":1869,"closeCents":1869,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1887},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1866,"highCents":1866,"lowCents":1866,"closeCents":1866,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPL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