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gradingReflexivity would sharpen this read.","More evidence on collectorAppeal would sharpen this read."],"modelVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","changeSincePrior":null,"disclaimer":"Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice."},"gradingEv":null,"population":null,"provenance":[{"providerId":"TCGDEX","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-07-17T00:00:00Z","freshnessSeconds":4034821,"confidence":0.98,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":"TCGdex catalog"},{"providerId":"FIXTURE_IMPORT","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-08-27T12:00:00.000Z","freshnessSeconds":449221,"confidence":0.5,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":null}],"eventMarkers":[{"t":"2026-07-17T00:00:00.000Z","kind":"SET_RELEASE","title":"Pitch Black (me05) released"}],"dataMode":"DEMO","auctionSummary":{"classification":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","completedMedianCents":null,"completedMeanCents":null,"binFloorCents":null,"spreadVsBinPct":null,"active":[],"sampleSizeCompleted":0},"whyMoving":{"whatChanged":"Sold median moved +0.7% over the trailing 7 days and +0.7% over 30 days, last printing at $1.50. Active TCGplayer listings fell 5% over the same 7 days to 191.","primaryExplanation":"Primary read: Liquidity scored 66/100 (composite weight 10%). — the largest single contributor to the current FLOOR_FORMING regime read.","alternative":"Alternative explanation: Supply tightness scored 60/100 (composite weight 12%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.","evidence":"Evidence: raw~tcgdex:me05-077:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:me05-077:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read (\"Over 30d: inventory -9.9%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.\").","confidence":"Confidence: 30% (floor-confidence 48/100), based on 30 days of observations.","disproof":"This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 220 while sold median keeps falling."},"analytics":{"bars":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":149,"highCents":149,"lowCents":149,"closeCents":149,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":147,"highCents":147,"lowCents":147,"closeCents":147,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":149},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":146,"highCents":146,"lowCents":146,"closeCents":146,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":147},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":148,"highCents":148,"lowCents":148,"closeCents":148,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":146},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":148},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":151,"highCents":151,"lowCents":151,"closeCents":151,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":151},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":149,"highCents":149,"lowCents":149,"closeCents":149,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":149},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":148,"highCents":148,"lowCents":148,"closeCents":148,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":148},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":150,"highCents":150,"lowCents":150,"closeCents":150,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":152,"highCents":152,"lowCents":152,"closeCents":152,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":150},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":153,"highCents":153,"lowCents":153,"closeCents":153,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":152},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":151,"highCents":151,"lowCents":151,"closeCents":151,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":153},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":151,"highCents":151,"lowCents":151,"closeCents":151,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":151},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":149,"highCents":149,"lowCents":149,"closeCents":149,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":151},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":151,"highCents":151,"lowCents":151,"closeCents":151,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":149},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":151,"highCents":151,"lowCents"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