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demand)\" reverses, the FALLING read (and this thesis) is invalidated."],"nextEvidence":["More evidence on auctionDemand would sharpen this read.","More evidence on attentionQuality would sharpen this read.","More evidence on gradingReflexivity would sharpen this read.","More evidence on relativeStrength would sharpen this read.","More evidence on collectorAppeal would sharpen this read."],"modelVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","changeSincePrior":null,"disclaimer":"Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice."},"gradingEv":null,"population":null,"provenance":[{"providerId":"TCGDEX","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2025-09-26T00:00:00Z","freshnessSeconds":29436409,"confidence":0.98,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":"TCGdex catalog"},{"providerId":"FIXTURE_IMPORT","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-08-27T12:00:00.000Z","freshnessSeconds":449209,"confidence":0.5,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":null}],"eventMarkers":[],"dataMode":"DEMO","auctionSummary":{"classification":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","completedMedianCents":null,"completedMeanCents":null,"binFloorCents":null,"spreadVsBinPct":null,"active":[],"sampleSizeCompleted":0},"whyMoving":{"whatChanged":"Sold median moved -24.4% over the trailing 7 days and -31.1% over 30 days, last printing at $0.31. Active TCGplayer listings rose 25% over the same 7 days to 66.","primaryExplanation":"Primary read: Price trend scored 0/100 (composite weight 14%). — the largest single contributor to the current FALLING regime read.","alternative":"Alternative explanation: Supply tightness scored 25/100 (composite weight 12%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.","evidence":"Evidence: raw~tcgdex:me01-004:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:me01-004:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read (\"Over 30d: inventory +24.5%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.\").","confidence":"Confidence: 50% (floor-confidence 34/100), based on 30 days of observations.","disproof":"This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 76 while sold median keeps falling."},"analytics":{"bars":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":44,"highCents":44,"lowCents":44,"closeCents":44,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":44},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":44,"highCents":44,"lowCents":44,"closeCents":44,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":44},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":44,"highCents":44,"lowCents":44,"closeCents":44,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":44,"highCents":44,"lowCents":44,"closeCents":44,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":44},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":44,"highCents":44,"lowCents":44,"closeCents":44,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":44},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":44,"highCents":44,"lowCents":44,"closeCents":44,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":44},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":44},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":45,"highCents":45,"lowCents":45,"closeCents":45,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":44,"highCents":44,"lowCents":44,"closeCents":44,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":45},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":42,"highCents":42,"lowCents":42,"closeCents":42,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"source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